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Welcome to The Final Wager

“Keith Williams ruined everything.”

Thanks for a great second season of The Final Wager! If you’ve enjoyed the work I’ve put into this site, please consider a contribution to help me replenish my liquor cabinet.

This Day in History

August 30, 1967

Fact Primers

U.N. Secretaries-General

By the Numbers

'Close' games

Daily analysis

The season finale


Arthur Chu vs. Alex Jacob

Arthur Chu Alex Jacob front

How to Wager

The basics

The Final Wager calculator screencap

Game theory

Mixed strategies

Mixed-strategy Nash equilibria Slide 12

The backstory

Why this? Why now?

Keith semifinal

Media appearances


Keith Arthur CNBC

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